(C) Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Signage is seen outside the entrance of the London Stock Exchange in London
By Ritvik Carvalho
LONDON (Reuters) – Global stock markets tumbled and government bonds rallied on Friday as disruptions to business from the spreading coronavirus epidemic worsened, stoking fears of a prolonged economic slowdown.
Germany’s DAX (GDAXI) slid 3.5%, Britain’s FTSE 100 (FTSE) fell 3.2% and France’s CAC 40 (FCHI) fell 3.7%. The MSCI All-Country World Index (MIWD00000PUS), which tracks shares across 49 countries, was down 0.84%.
After their worst weekly performance since the 2008 financial crisis, global stocks measured by the MSCI index are up 1.7% this week, as policymakers provided stimulus to combat the economic effects of the virus.
(Graphic: Global stocks’ performance vs reported coronavirus cases – https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/13/2961/2926/globalstocks.png)
Yields on U.S. Treasuries fell to record lows and Treasury futures jumped as investors increased bets the Federal Reserve will follow this week’s surprise rate cut with further easing.
The Fed made an emergency interest rate cut of 50 basis points earlier this week. The Bank of Canada and the Reserve Bank of Australia also cut rates, with investors expecting other major central banks to follow suit soon.
Officials and companies in Britain, France, Italy and the United States are struggling to deal with a steady rise in virus cases that have in some cases triggered corporate defaults, office evacuations, and panic buying of daily necessities.
“The interplay of virus containment fears and stimulus measures means that in the near term we expect market volatility to persist,” said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
Money markets are pricing in another 25 basis-point-cut from the current 1% to 1.25% range at the next Fed meeting on March 18-19 and a 50-basis-point cut by April. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said late on Thursday the Fed could cut rates further if needed.
Germany’s benchmark 10-year Bund yield fell to a six-month low, within striking distance of last year’s record lows. [GVD/EUR]
The flu-like virus emerged late last year in central China and has since spread to more than 80 countries. More than 3,000 people have died. Travel restrictions and factory closings aimed at curbing the spread of the virus are expected to pressure global growth.
Many investors were awaiting the release of U.S. non-farm payrolls later on Friday. Recent U.S. economic data have been encouraging, but concerns about coronavirus are likely to overshadow any signs of a strong labour market.
Shares in China fell 1.22%. Stocks in Hong Kong <.his>, another city hard hit by the virus, fell 2.12%.</.his>
In currencies, rapidly falling yields hammered the dollar The index that measures the dollar’s strength against a basket of other currencies, was down 0.7%. [FRX/]
Against the Japanese yen , the dollar fell to a six-month low and was last at 105.29 yen. It sank to a two-year trough of 0.9347 Swiss franc .
“The driver is the equity markets and the collapse in U.S. bond yields this week,” said Kenneth Broux, FX strategist at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN).
“It’s been a knee-jerk reaction. What we have now is a reversal simply on the declining U.S. equities and the compressing differential. [FRX/]
The euro (EUR=EBS) gained 0.8% to trade at $1.1328. Markets in the euro zone are pricing in a 93% chance that the European Central Bank will cut its deposit rate, now minus 0.50%, by 10 basis points next week.
Oil prices slid more than 4% to their lowest since July 2017 after Reuters reported that Russia would not agree to steeper cuts in oil output to support prices.
World stocks succumb to virus fears, Treasury yields hit record lows